🇵🇾 Paraguay — 2026 World Cup
Complete Betting Guide
In-depth squad analysis, CONMEBOL qualification data, betting odds breakdown, and expert match predictions for Paraguay at the 2026 FIFA World Cup in USA, Canada & Mexico.
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⚡ TL;DR — Paraguay 2026 World Cup Betting Summary
Paraguay is still fighting for qualification in the CONMEBOL table as of mid-2025, sitting in a precarious playoff position. The Guaraníes boast experienced players like Miguel Almirón and Julio Enciso, but their attacking depth remains a concern. For bettors, Paraguay offers value in draw markets and defensive-heavy match props. Their best odds sit at +2500 to win the tournament at most major sportsbooks — a high-risk, novelty pick only. The smarter money lies in over/under 2.5 goals markets and both teams to score — NO given their historically low-scoring fixtures. Read on for the full breakdown.
How Did Paraguay Perform in CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 Qualifying?
A granular look at the numbers that define Paraguay's road to the 2026 World Cup
The CONMEBOL South American qualifying campaign for the 2026 FIFA World Cup features all 10 South American nations competing in a home-and-away round-robin format. Six spots are guaranteed, with a seventh place finisher entering an intercontinental playoff. Paraguay entered the campaign with modest expectations but have shown characteristic resilience, particularly at the Estadio Defensores del Chaco in Asunción — a fortress-like venue infamous for its oppressive conditions and partisan crowd atmosphere.
Through the first 14 matchdays, Paraguay accumulated approximately 18 points, placing them in the playoff zone. Their defensive record has been solid — conceding fewer goals per game than Ecuador and Bolivia — but the lack of a prolific striker has cost them crucial points at home. Head coach Gustavo Morínigo has cycled through formations, settling on a pragmatic 4-4-2 block that prioritises defensive solidity over expansive attacking play.
| Metric | Paraguay | CONMEBOL Avg | Rank (of 10) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored (14 games) | 16 | 19.4 | 7th |
| Goals Conceded | 14 | 19.4 | 5th |
| Clean Sheets | 5 | 3.8 | 3rd |
| Win Rate | 35.7% | 33.3% | 5th |
| Draw Rate | 28.6% | 25.0% | 3rd |
| Shots on Target Per Game | 3.1 | 4.3 | 8th |
The data paints a clear picture: Paraguay are a team that leans heavily on defensive organisation and set-piece moments, struggling to generate high-quality chances in open play. For bettors, this means under 2.5 goals bets on Paraguay matches have cashed at a 64% rate throughout qualifying — a statistic worth bookmarking for the tournament proper.
Who Are Paraguay's Key Players and What Is Their Squad Strength Rating?
The players who will define Paraguay's World Cup campaign and their market value
⭐ The Star Players to Watch
Miguel Almirón
ATTACKING MIDFIELDER | NEWCASTLE UTD
13 international goals. The creative heartbeat of Paraguay. His ability to operate in tight spaces and link play is irreplaceable. Form-dependent at Newcastle, but at his best on the international stage.
Julio Enciso
WINGER | BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION
Only 21 years old. A raw, explosive talent capable of match-winning moments. His wonder goal against Brazil at the Copa América demonstrated his ceiling. The future of Paraguayan football.
Antony Silva
GOALKEEPER | CLUB OLIMPIA
Veteran custodian with over 60 caps. His command of the penalty area and shot-stopping reflexes are among the best in CONMEBOL. A key reason Paraguay's goals conceded tally remains respectable.
📋 Full Squad Strength Overview
| Position | Depth Rating | Top Performer | Scouting Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | STRONG |
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